Thursday, September 16, 2010

The MD Republican Primary

Tuesday night did not turn out the way the Murphy supporter's wished, but it did meet my expectations and other political analysts would agree with me. In response to my previous post I will now answer the questions I posed earlier.

1. Does Brian Murphy receive more out-of-state endorsements and funds due to Palin's endorsement?
- No, he did not receive any further endoresments and his fundraising remained abysmally low. In fact, John McCain actually endorsed Ehrlich in response
2.When and Where does Obama campaign in MD?
- He hasn't yet
3. If Murphy does become a more visible challenger, how does and to what extent does Ehrlich respond?
- Murphy stayed a shadow challenger, thereby forcing no response from Ehrlich
4. After the September 12 primary, what do the Ehrlich/Murphy supporters do?
- We don't know yet since there have been no post-primary polls
5. Does the small scandal around Mary Kane's (Ehrlich's running mate) husband develop further?
- Nope, local media lost track of the scandal in light of other stories
6. When do O'Malley and Ehrlich start flinging attack ads at each other?
- That started in late June, O'Malley struck first
7. What is the fundrasing ratio between O'Malley and Ehrlich/Murphy?
- The fundraising ratio between O'Malley and Ehrlich maintains somewhere between 2:1 and 3:1, depending on the county. Murphy raised $34,000 during a period when O'Malley raised near 1M and Ehrlich near 500K.
8. What is the final result of the Republican primary?
Ehrlich won 3/4 of the Republican vote and Murphy scored the other quarter
9, 10, 11, 12
- these questions pertain to the General Election
13. Which campaign mobilizes resources better and faster?
- It seems that O'Malley has more resources and much larger pool, now that the state delegate, senate and county elections are over. In Maryland, these are tantamount to election
14. Does the Tea Party have any impact on the Republican primary?
- It had a minimal impact, although it could have siphoned votes away from Ehrlich
15. What kind of screw-ups get media attention?
- There have been plenty of gaffes but none have maintained more than a spot on the evening and 11pm news
16. When and What do they debate?
- The debates have been scheduled, but have not occured yet. Both camps wanted to wait for the primary to end.